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    CALCULATORiQ™
    PRE-LISTING BRIEF
    Listing 12 Jun 2026 · Nasdaq: SPCX

    Pricing the Founder

    The SpaceX IPO, the valuation it asks the market to accept, and the precedent it sets for everyone who lists after it.

    SpaceX is scheduled to begin trading on Nasdaq on Friday 12 June at a fixed price of $135 a share — an offering near $75 billion and an implied valuation around $1.77 trillion. This CALCULATORiQ Research brief ships pre-listing: institutional valuation methodology, physics-grounded milestone analysis, retail downside sizing, and interactive tools you can run against your own inputs.

    Verified fact sheet

    The Offering

    Listing
    Nasdaq: SPCX
    12 Jun 2026
    Price mechanic
    $135
    Fixed price
    Shares offered
    ~555.6m
    +83.3m option
    Raise
    $75.0B
    Largest IPO
    Implied valuation
    $1.77T
    ~7th-largest US co.
    Initial float
    5%
    Thin by design
    Retail allocation
    up to 30%
    vs typical 5–10%

    Founder Package

    Current grant value
    $175.0B
    Per S-1
    Maximum upside
    $1.10T
    Top of ladder
    Top milestone
    $7.50T cap
    + 1m on Mars
    Tranches
    12 steps
    $1T → $6.6T
    Time limit
    None
    As long as employed
    Voting rights
    Immediate
    Pre-vest, super-voting

    Valuation Context

    IPO ask
    $1.77T
    Fixed-price offer
    Morningstar fair value
    $780.0B
    Less than half
    2025 revenue
    $18.7B
    Post-xAI
    2025 net loss
    $-4.9B
    Combined entity
    xAI 2026 burn
    $10.0B
    Projected

    Sources: SpaceX S-1 (20 May 2026); Reuters, CNBC, Fortune, Bloomberg (Jun 2026); Morningstar; Investing.com. Where popular coverage and the filings diverge, the filings win.

    Interactive tools

    CalculatorIQ

    Founder-Premium Valuation Model

    Sum-of-the-parts: Starlink, Launch, xAI, Mars optionality, narrative premium. See implied share price vs the $135 anchor.

    CalculatorIQ

    Retail Downside & Dilution Simulator

    Your numbers. Drawdown across lock-up, milestone-miss, dilution, and broad-correction scenarios. Includes a sizing helper.

    CalculatorIQ

    The Physics of the Premium

    The two non-financial milestones — 100-TW orbital compute and a million on Mars — as physics. Stefan–Boltzmann, regolith depth, launch cadence, with the binding constraint named on every output.

    Editorial flagship and features

    CALCULATORiQ Flagship · Valuation & Governance

    Pricing the Founder

    A prudent valuation framework for SpaceX, the governance discount the milestone ladder earns, and the precedent the listing sets.

    ~2,500 wordsRead

    CALCULATORiQ · Physics-of-Capital

    The Physics of the Premium

    Two of the founder-comp milestones are not financial. They are physical. This piece turns them into Stefan–Boltzmann, regolith depth, and launch cadence — with both live modules embedded.

    ~2,000 wordsRead

    CALCULATORiQ · Narrative

    The Trillion-Dollar Promise

    On Friday, a single company asks the market to believe in one man's vision of the next thirty years. The believing is the product.

    ~1,400 wordsRead

    CALCULATORiQ · Retail Risk

    If the Rocket Misses

    Up to 30% of this deal may go to retail. Here is what the downside looks like in plain numbers, and how to size a bet you can live with.

    ~1,400 wordsRead

    Embeddable widgets

    Canonical iframes for partner publishers. Hosts must reference the iframe URL; do not copy the widget code.

    Size the Bet

    Canonical iframe served from calculatoriq.app.

    <iframe src="https://calculatoriq.app/embed/spacex-size-the-bet" width="100%" height="640" style="border:0;max-width:100%;" loading="lazy" title="SpaceX — Size the Bet"></iframe>

    Direct URL: https://calculatoriq.app/embed/spacex-size-the-bet

    Would they see the Sun?

    Canonical iframe served from calculatoriq.app.

    <iframe src="https://calculatoriq.app/embed/spacex-see-the-sun" width="100%" height="560" style="border:0;max-width:100%;" loading="lazy" title="SpaceX — Would they see the Sun?"></iframe>

    Direct URL: https://calculatoriq.app/embed/spacex-see-the-sun

    100-TW reality check

    Canonical iframe served from calculatoriq.app.

    <iframe src="https://calculatoriq.app/embed/spacex-100tw-reality-check" width="100%" height="640" style="border:0;max-width:100%;" loading="lazy" title="SpaceX — 100-TW reality check"></iframe>

    Direct URL: https://calculatoriq.app/embed/spacex-100tw-reality-check

    Editorial independence

    Cabier has no commercial relationship to SpaceX, its underwriters, its competitors, or any party with a position in SPCX. This analysis is editorially independent. Figures are compiled from public sources as of June 2026.

    Regulatory disclaimer

    This tool is for educational and illustrative purposes only. It is not investment advice, a recommendation, or a valuation opinion. Outputs depend entirely on user assumptions and do not predict future prices. SpaceX securities involve substantial risk, including the risk of total loss. Consult a licensed financial professional. Figures are estimates compiled from public sources as of June 2026.