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    CALCULATORiQ™
    AI Fragility and Credit Stress

    Global AI Race Index

    Fourteen countries and blocs scored across seven pillars. Move the weights to see whose lead depends on capital and whose depends on power.

    Standings

    What matters to you

    25
    20
    15
    15
    8
    12
    5

    Weights are normalised, so raising one pillar dilutes the rest. Scores are editorial estimates compiled from public disclosure, procurement reporting and open-weight release records.

    United States

    Frontier

    Rank

    #1

    Weighted score

    88.5

    Leads on models, compute and capital. The binding constraint has shifted from chips to interconnection queues and transformer supply.

    Frontier models96
    Installed compute95
    Research talent92
    Sustained capital97
    Energy headroom62
    Silicon control74
    Deployment policy66

    Reading the board

    Two countries train at the frontier. A second group can deploy at scale without training at the frontier. A third group has the talent and no accelerators.

    Weight energy and silicon heavily and the standings change materially, because the binding constraint in 2026 is power and packaging, not ideas.

    Editorial index. Not an investment or policy recommendation.