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    CALCULATORiQ™

    Africa REE Wealth Estimator

    Africa Day 2026
    USGS 2025 reserve defaults

    Estimate the gross in-situ value, realised value, and sovereign capture share of an African rare-earth deposit. All defaults are editable. Pricing reflects 2026 separated-oxide reference values.

    Inputs

    Royalty plus tax plus equity. AfDB regional median is 12 to 22 percent.

    Estimated Value

    Gross in-situ
    $18.23B
    Full separated-oxide reference, no tier or offtake adjustment
    Realised value
    $10.02B
    Separated oxide routed to China
    Sovereign capture
    $1.50B
    At 15% capture rate

    Data Sources

    • 1.
      Mineral Commodity Summaries 2025|United States Geological Survey|Jan 2025Open source
    • 2.
      Critical Minerals Outlook 2025|International Energy Agency|May 2025Open source
    • 3.
      African Natural Resources Centre|African Development BankOpen source
    • 4.
      Rare Earth Price Assessments|Shanghai Metals Market|2026

    Methodology

    Gross in-situ value equals reserve tonnage multiplied by the basket-weighted price of separated oxides for Nd, Pr, Dy and Tb.

    Realised value equals gross value multiplied by the processing tier factor (run-of-mine 0.08, concentrate 0.22, separated oxide 0.55, reduced metal 0.85) and reduced by the offtake destination discount that reflects logistics and infrastructure friction.

    Sovereign capture is the user-set share of realised value, intended to combine royalty, corporate income tax, and equity participation. Defaults reflect AfDB African Natural Resources Centre medians.

    This tool is a transparency instrument, not a price forecast. Users should override defaults with deposit-specific data when available.